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Over/Under Predictions - NCAA Football 2014 Win Totals

July 11, 2014
INDIANA SPORTS PAGE



When I started writing this piece, I thought it would be useful to support my picks with some sort of objective analysis to separate it from just another opinion. I therefore decided to create a regression model which factored in, what I considered to be, numerous predictors of wins and losses for a team in a given season. The results of the model were by no means overwhelming but it did correctly pick the over/under for 44 out of 70 teams for 2013 (63%). So, there is some value in it – just not enough to completely neglect qualitative analysis and blindly wager my next paycheque on the output.

READ MORE: http://www.sportingcharts.com/articles/nfl/overunder-predictions-ncaa-football-2014-win-totals.aspx


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